ELEVATE CREDIT, INC. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Form 10-Q)
The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A;") is intended to help the reader understand our business, our results of operations and our financial condition. The MD&A; is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the related notes and other financial information included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis, including information with respect to our plans and strategy for our business, includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. You should review the "Note About Forward-Looking Statements" section of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described in or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in the following discussion and analysis. We generally refer to loans, customers and other information and data associated with each of our brands (Rise, Elastic and Today Card) as Elevate's loans, customers, information and data, irrespective of whether Elevate directly originates the credit to the customer or whether such credit is originated by a third party. OVERVIEW We provide online credit solutions to consumers in the US who are not well-served by traditional bank products and who are looking for better options than payday loans, title loans, pawn and storefront installment loans. Non-prime consumers now represent a larger market than prime consumers but are riskier to underwrite and serve with traditional approaches. We're succeeding at it - and doing it responsibly - with best-in-class advanced technology and proprietary risk analytics honed by serving more than 2.7 million customers with$10.0 billion in credit. Our current online credit products, Rise, Elastic and Today Card, reflect our mission to provide customers with access to competitively priced credit and services while helping them build a brighter financial future with credit building and financial wellness features. We call this mission "Good Today, Better Tomorrow." We earn revenues on the Rise installment loans, on the Rise and Elastic lines of credit and on the Today Card credit card product. Our revenue primarily consists of finance charges and line of credit fees. Finance charges are driven by our average loan balances outstanding and by the average annual percentage rate ("APR") associated with those outstanding loan balances. We calculate our average loan balances by taking a simple daily average of the ending loan balances outstanding for each period. Line of credit fees are recognized when they are assessed and recorded to revenue over the life of the loan. We present certain key metrics and other information on a "combined" basis to reflect information related to loans originated by us and by our bank partners that license our brands, Republic Bank,FinWise Bank andCapital Community Bank ("CCB"), as well as loans originated by third-party lenders pursuant to CSO programs, which loans originated through CSO programs are not recorded on our balance sheet in accordance with US GAAP. See "-Key Financial and Operating Metrics" and "-Non-GAAP Financial Measures." We use our working capital and our credit facility withVictory Park Management, LLC ("VPC" and the "VPC Facility") to fund the loans we directly make to our Rise customers. The VPC Facility has a maximum total borrowing amount available of$200 million atMarch 31, 2022 . We also license our Rise installment loan brand to two banks.FinWise Bank originates Rise installment loans in 17 states. This bank initially provides all of the funding, retains 4% of the balances of all of the loans originated and sells the remaining 96% loan participation in those Rise installment loans to a third-party SPV,EF SPV, Ltd. ("EF SPV"). These loan participation purchases are funded through a separate financing facility (the "EF SPV Facility"), and through cash flows from operations generated by EF SPV. The EF SPV Facility has a maximum total borrowing amount available of$250 million . We do not own EF SPV, but we have a credit default protection agreement with EF SPV whereby we provide credit protection to the investors in EF SPV against Rise loan losses in return for a credit premium. As the primary beneficiary, Elevate is required to consolidate EF SPV as a variable interest entity ("VIE") under US GAAP and the condensed consolidated financial statements include revenue, losses and loans receivable related to the 96% of the Rise installment loans originated byFinWise Bank and sold to EF SPV. 39 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beginning in the third quarter of 2020, we also license our Rise installment loan brand to an additional bank, CCB, which originates Rise installment loans in three different states thanFinWise Bank . Similar to the relationship withFinWise Bank , CCB initially provides all of the funding, retains 5% of the balances of all of the loans originated and sells the remaining 95% loan participation in those Rise installment loans to a third-party SPV,EC SPV, Ltd. ("EC SPV"). These loan participation purchases are funded through a separate financing facility (the "EC SPV Facility"), and through cash flows from operations generated by EC SPV. The EC SPV Facility has a maximum total borrowing amount available of$100 million . We do not own EC SPV, but we have a credit default protection agreement with EC SPV whereby we provide credit protection to the investors in EC SPV against Rise loan losses in return for a credit premium. As the primary beneficiary, Elevate is required to consolidate EC SPV as a VIE under US GAAP and the condensed consolidated financial statements include revenue, losses and loans receivable related to the 95% of the Rise installment loans originated by CCB and sold to EC SPV. The Elastic line of credit product is originated by a third-party lender, Republic Bank, which initially provides all of the funding for that product. Republic Bank retains 10% of the balances of all loans originated and sells a 90% loan participation in the Elastic lines of credit. An SPV structure was implemented such that the loan participations are sold by Republic Bank toElastic SPV, Ltd. ("Elastic SPV") and Elastic SPV receives its funding from VPC in a separate financing facility (the "ESPV Facility"), which was finalized onJuly 13, 2015 . We do not own Elastic SPV, but we have a credit default protection agreement with Elastic SPV whereby we provide credit protection to the investors in Elastic SPV against Elastic loan losses in return for a credit premium. Per the terms of this agreement, under US GAAP, we are the primary beneficiary of Elastic SPV and are required to consolidate the financial results of Elastic SPV as a VIE in our condensed consolidated financial statements. The ESPV Facility has a maximum total borrowing amount available of$350 million atMarch 31, 2022 . Today Card is a credit card product designed to meet the spending needs of non-prime consumers by offering a prime customer experience. Today Card is originated by CCB under the licensed MasterCard brand, and a 95% participation interest in the credit card receivable is sold to us. These credit card receivable purchases are funded through a separate financing facility (the "TSPV Facility"), and through cash flows from operations generated by the Today Card portfolio. The TSPV Facility has a maximum commitment amount of$50 million , which may be increased up to$100 million . As the lowest APR product in our portfolio, Today Card allows us to serve a broader spectrum of non-prime Americans. The Today Card experienced significant growth in its portfolio size despite the pandemic due to the success of our direct mail campaigns, the primary marketing channel for acquiring new Today Card customers. We are following a specific growth plan to grow the product while monitoring customer responses and credit quality. Customer response to the Today Card is very strong, as we continue to see extremely high response rates, high customer engagement, and positive customer satisfaction scores. InJanuary 2022 , we collaborated withCentral Pacific Bank ("CPB") to invest in the launch of a new fintech company,Swell Financial, Inc. ("Swell"). The Swell App includes several groundbreaking features to help customers automatically control their spending, tackle debt, and invest in exclusive private market opportunities with as little as$1 thousand . We will help CPB and Swell offer the Swell Credit line of credit product with APRs between 8% and 24%. Our current total investment carrying value in Swell, using equity method accounting, is$5.5 million and we have a non-controlling interest in Swell.
Our management evaluates our financial performance and our future strategic objectives using key indicators based primarily on the following three themes:
•Revenue growth. Key metrics related to revenue growth that we monitor by product include the ending and average combined loan balances outstanding, the effective APR of our product loan portfolios, the total dollar value of loans originated, the number of new customer loans made, the ending number of customer loans outstanding and the related customer acquisition costs ("CAC") associated with each new customer loan made. We include CAC as a key metric when analyzing revenue growth (rather than as a key metric within margin expansion). •Stable credit quality. Since the time they were managing our legacy US products, our management team has maintained stable credit quality across the loan portfolio they were managing. Additionally, in the periods covered in this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, we have maintained our strong credit quality. With the adoption of fair value for the loans receivable portfolio effectiveJanuary 1, 2022 , the credit quality metrics we monitor include net charge-offs as a percentage of revenues, change in fair value of loans receivable as a percentage of revenues, the percentage of past due combined loans receivable - principal and net principal charge-offs as a percentage of average combined loans receivable-principal. Prior to our adoption of fair value for the loans receivable portfolio effectiveJanuary 1, 2022 , our credit quality metrics also included the combined loan loss reserve as a percentage of outstanding combined loans and total provision for loan losses as a percentage of revenues. Under fair value accounting, a specific loan loss reserve is no longer required to be recognized as a credit loss estimate is a key assumption used in measuring fair value. See "-Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for further information. 40 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- •Margin expansion. We aim to manage our business to achieve a long-term operating margin of 20%. In periods of significant loan portfolio growth, our margins may become compressed due to the upfront costs associated with marketing. Prior to our adoption of fair value for the loans receivable portfolio, we incurred upfront credit provisioning expense associated with loan portfolio growth. When applying fair value accounting, estimated credit loss is a key assumption within the fair value assumptions used each quarter and specific loan loss allowance is no longer required to be recognized. As we continue to rebuild and scale our portfolio from the impacts of COVID-19, we anticipate that our direct marketing costs primarily associated with new customer acquisitions will be approximately 10% of revenues and our operating expenses will decline to 20% of revenues. While our operating margins may exceed 20% in certain years, such as in 2020 when we incurred lower levels of direct marketing expense and materially lower credit losses due to a lack of customer demand for loans resulting from the effects of COVID-19, we do not expect our operating margin to increase beyond that level over the long-term, as we intend to pass on any improvements over our targeted margins to our customers in the form of lower APRs. We believe this is a critical component of our responsible lending platform and over time will also help us continue to attract new customers and retain existing customers.
Choice of fair value option
Prior toJanuary 1, 2022 , we carried our combined loans receivable portfolio at amortized cost, net of an allowance for estimated loan losses inherent in the combined loan portfolio. EffectiveJanuary 1, 2022 , we elected the fair value option to account for all our combined loan portfolio in conjunction with our early adoption of Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments ("ASU 2016-13") and the related amendments. We believe the election of the fair value option better reflects the value of our portfolio and its future economic performance as well as more closely aligns with our decision-making processes that relies on unit economics that align with discounted cash flow methodologies that are utilized in fair value accounting. Refer to Note 1 for discussion of the election and its impact on our accounting policies. In accordance with the transition guidance, onJanuary 1, 2022 , we released the allowance for loan losses and measured the combined loans receivable at fair value at adoption. The cumulative-effect adjustment, net of tax, was recognized collectively as a net increase of$98.6 million to opening Retained earnings. In comparing our current period results under the fair value option to prior periods, it may be helpful to consider that loans receivable are carried at fair value with changes in fair value of loans receivable recorded in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations. The fair value takes into consideration expected lifetime losses of the loans receivable, whereas the prior method incorporated only incurred losses recognized as an allowance for loan losses. As such, changes in credit quality, amongst other significant assumptions, typically have a more significant impact on the carrying value of the combined loans receivable portfolio under the fair value option. See "-Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for further information.
Impact of COVID-19
The COVID-19 pandemic and related restrictive measures taken by governments, businesses and individuals caused unprecedented uncertainty, volatility and disruption in financial markets and in governmental, commercial and consumer activity inthe United States , including the markets that we serve. As the restrictive measures have been eased in certain geographic locations, theU.S. economy has begun to recover, and with the availability and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines, we anticipate continued improvements in commercial and consumer activity and theU.S. economy. While positive signs exist, we recognize that certain of our customers are experiencing varying degrees of financial distress, which may continue, especially if new COVID-19 variant infections increase and new economic restrictions are mandated. In 2020, we experienced a significant decline in the loan portfolio due to a lack of customer demand for loans resulting from the effects of COVID-19 and related government stimulus programs. These impacts resulted in a lower level of direct marketing expense and materially lower credit losses during 2020 and continuing into early 2021. Beginning in the second quarter of 2021, we experienced a return of demand for the loan products that we, and the bank originators we support, offer, resulting in significant growth in the loan portfolio from that point. This significant loan portfolio growth resulted in compressed margins in 2021 due to the upfront costs associated with marketing and credit provisioning expense related to growing and "rebuilding" the loan portfolio from the impacts of COVID-19. We continue to target loan portfolio originations within our target CACs of$250-$300 and credit quality metrics of 45-55% of revenue which, when combined with our expectation of continuing customer loan demand for our portfolio products, we believe will allow us to return to our historical performance levels prior to COVID-19 after initially resulting in earnings compression. 41 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Both we and the bank originators are closely monitoring the key credit quality indicators such as payment defaults, continued payment deferrals, and line of credit utilization. While we initially anticipated that the COVID-19 pandemic would have a negative impact on our credit quality, instead the monetary stimulus programs provided by the US government to our customer base have generally allowed customers to continue making payments on their loans. At the beginning of the pandemic, we expected an increase in net charge-offs as compared to prior periods but experienced historically low net charge-offs as a percentage of revenue in the second half of 2020 and early 2021. With the increased volume of new customer loans we originated in the third and fourth quarters of 2021 as we grew the loan portfolio to a level that approximated our pre-pandemic size and the ending of government assistance, we are experiencing a short-term increase in net charge-offs in excess of our targeted range with an expectation of net charge-offs returning to our targeted range of 45-55% of revenue as the portfolio becomes more seasoned with a balance of new and returning customers, in the second half of 2022. We have implemented a hybrid remote environment where employees may choose to work primarily from the office or from home and gather collectively in the office on a limited basis. We have sought to ensure our employees feel secure in their jobs, have flexibility in their work location and have the resources they need to stay safe and healthy. As a 100% online lending solutions provider, our technology and underwriting platform has continued to serve our customers and the bank originators that we support without any material interruption in services. COVID-19 has had a significant adverse impact on our business, and while uncertainty still exists, we believe we are well-positioned to operate effectively through the present economic environment and expect continued loan portfolio growth and strong credit quality into the next year. We will continue assessing our minimum cash and liquidity requirement, monitoring our debt covenant compliance and implementing measures to ensure that our cash and liquidity position is maintained through the current economic cycle.
KEY FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL INDICATORS
As discussed above, we regularly monitor a number of metrics in order to measure our current performance and project our future performance. These metrics aid us in developing and refining our growth strategies and in making strategic decisions. Certain of our metrics are non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that such metrics are useful in period-to-period comparisons of our core business. However, non-GAAP financial measures are not an alternative to any measure of financial performance calculated and presented in accordance with US GAAP. See "-Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for a reconciliation of our non-GAAP measures to US GAAP. Revenues As of and for the three months ended March 31, Revenue metrics (dollars in thousands, except as noted) 2022 2021 Revenues$ 124,244 $ 89,733 Period-over-period change in revenue 38 % (45) % Ending combined loans receivable - principal(1)$ 511,319 $ 353,089 Average combined loans receivable - principal(1)(2)$ 535,857 $ 378,877 Total combined loans originated - principal$ 205,487 $ 133,514 Average customer loan balance(3)$ 1,993 $ 1,817 Number of new customer loans 19,303 13,890 Ending number of combined loans outstanding 256,615 194,331 Customer acquisition costs $ 323$ 316 Effective APR of combined loan portfolio 93 % 96 % _________ (1)Combined loans receivable is defined as loans owned by us and consolidated VIEs plus loans originated and owned by third-party lenders pursuant to our CSO programs. See "-Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for more information and for a reconciliation of Combined loans receivable to Loans receivable, net, / Loans receivable at fair value, the most directly comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with US GAAP. (2)Average combined loans receivable - principal is calculated using an average of daily Combined loans receivable - principal balances. (3)Average customer loan balance is an average of all three products and is calculated for each product by dividing the ending Combined loans receivable - principal by the number of loans outstanding at period end.
Revenues. Our revenue is made up of Rise finance fees, Rise CSO fees (which are fees we receive from customers who obtain a loan through the CSO program for credit services, including loan guarantee, which we provide), revenue earned on the Elastic line of credit, and finance charges and fee revenue from the Today Card credit card product. See